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The case for emerging market equities in an era of transitioning secular drivers

The drivers of emerging market equity returns are evolving as innovation and economic decoupling join favorable demographics as future sources of excess returns. The Emerging Market Equities Team believes that while the asset classā€™s potential has increased, it must be approached in a risk-aware manner that prioritizes selectivity.

Daniel J. GraƱa, CFA

Daniel J. GraƱa, CFA

Portfolio Manager


Sep 13, 2024
6 minute read

Key takeaways:

  • In the past, EM equities offered opportunities to capitalize on economic growth differentials, convergence and outsourcing. Today, EM companies provide valued-added innovation with strong potential for future earnings growth.
  • Reformist governments are supporting the private sector to achieve national objectives such as health care delivery, energy security, and improved access to financial services.
  • With an active, risk-aware EM approach, investors can gain exposure to the secular themes of innovation, decoupling and favorable demographics within an increasingly evolving asset class.

The widening range of economic and market outcomes for emerging markets can often lead to periods of increased market volatility. How can a multi-lens approach premised on country, company and governance better capture excess returns, and potentially dampen the volatility inherent in the asset class?

Note: There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realized.

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Emerging market: the economy of a developing country that is transitioning to become more integrated with the global economy. This can include making progress in areas such as depth and access to bond and equity markets and development of modern financial and regulatory institutions.

Volatility: the rate and extent at which the price of a portfolio, security or index, moves up and down. If the price swings up and down with large movements, it has high volatility. If the price moves more slowly and to a lesser extent, it has lower volatility. The higher the volatility the higher the risk of the investment.

JHI

 

These are the views of the author at the time of publication and may differ from the views of other individuals/teams at Janus Henderson Investors. References made to individual securities do not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, investment strategy or market sector, and should not be assumed to be profitable. Janus Henderson Investors, its affiliated advisor, or its employees, may have a position in the securities mentioned.

 

Past performance does not predict future returns. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the amount originally invested.

 

The information in this article does not qualify as an investment recommendation.

 

There is no guarantee that past trends will continue, or forecasts will be realised.

 

Marketing Communication.

 

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Important information

Please read the following important information regarding funds related to this article.

The Janus Henderson Fund (the “Fund”) is a Luxembourg SICAV incorporated on 26 September 2000, managed by Janus Henderson Investors Europe S.A. Janus Henderson Investors Europe S.A. may decide to terminate the marketing arrangements of this Collective Investment Scheme in accordance with the appropriate regulation. This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KIID before making any final investment decisions.
The Janus Henderson Horizon Fund (the “Fund”) is a Luxembourg SICAV incorporated on 30 May 1985, managed by Janus Henderson Investors Europe S.A. Janus Henderson Investors Europe S.A. may decide to terminate the marketing arrangements of this Collective Investment Scheme in accordance with the appropriate regulation. This is a marketing communication. Please refer to the prospectus of the UCITS and to the KIID before making any final investment decisions.
Daniel J. GraƱa, CFA

Daniel J. GraƱa, CFA

Portfolio Manager


Sep 13, 2024
6 minute read

Key takeaways:

  • In the past, EM equities offered opportunities to capitalize on economic growth differentials, convergence and outsourcing. Today, EM companies provide valued-added innovation with strong potential for future earnings growth.
  • Reformist governments are supporting the private sector to achieve national objectives such as health care delivery, energy security, and improved access to financial services.
  • With an active, risk-aware EM approach, investors can gain exposure to the secular themes of innovation, decoupling and favorable demographics within an increasingly evolving asset class.